AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Dec 01, 2023

Al-Duhail

Home
VS
16:30

UMM Salal

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Al-Duhail Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
UMM Salal Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.31 - 1.40
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Duhail Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
UMM Salal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 1-2 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Al-Duhail Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 19 Al-Duhail vs Al-Rayyan 1-0
Nov 13 Al-Duhail vs Al-Markhi… 1-0
Nov 02 Al-Duhail vs Al-Rayyan 3-2
Oct 24 Al-Duhail vs Al-Arabi … 3-2
Oct 14 Al-Duhail vs Al-Dhafra 0-2
Oct 01 Al-Duhail vs Al Sailiy… 1-1
Sep 28 Al-Duhail vs Al-Markhi… 1-2
Sep 24 Al-Duhail vs Al-Dhafra 3-2
Sep 14 Al-Duhail vs Al-Bidda 2-2
Sep 05 Al-Duhail vs Al-Markhi… 3-1
UMM Salal Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 25 UMM Salal vs Al-Dhafra 1-2
Nov 18 UMM Salal vs Al-Arabi … 0-0
Oct 29 UMM Salal vs Al Wakrah 2-1
Oct 21 UMM Salal vs Al-Rayyan 0-2
Oct 15 UMM Salal vs Al Wahda … 1-1
Oct 08 UMM Salal vs Qatar SC 3-0
Sep 23 UMM Salal vs Al Wahda … 3-1
Sep 15 UMM Salal vs Al-Rayyan 1-1
Sep 09 UMM Salal vs Al Wakrah 0-5
Sep 01 UMM Salal vs Qatar SC 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Duhail in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • UMM Salal struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 29, 2023 UMM Salal 1 - 2 Al-Duhail Stars League
Mar 28, 2023 UMM Salal 0 - 1 Al-Duhail QSL Cup
Jan 11, 2023 Al-Duhail 3 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Mar 02, 2022 Al-Duhail 6 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Duhail to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Duhail Power 0
UMM Salal Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Al-Duhail Position

+5

Position Gap

11

UMM Salal Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.