AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Jan 11, 2023

Al-Duhail

Home
VS
13:20

UMM Salal

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Al-Duhail Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
UMM Salal Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 64%
Market 50%
Combined: 54% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 4.50 - 1.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.6 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Duhail Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
UMM Salal Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
19%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
14%
4 goals:
6%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-1 (4%) 3-0 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 3-3 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Al-Duhail Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 04 Al-Duhail vs Al-Dhafra 3-0
Oct 02 Al-Duhail vs Al-Dhafra 1-1
Sep 20 Al-Duhail vs Al-Markhi… 8-3
Sep 17 Al-Duhail vs Al-Bidda 3-1
Sep 07 Al-Duhail vs Qatar SC 3-0
Aug 22 Al-Duhail vs Al-Markhi… 0-1
Aug 11 Al-Duhail vs Al Wahda … 1-1
Aug 03 Al-Duhail vs Al Wakrah 2-4
Apr 28 Al-Duhail vs Al-Bidda 1-0
Mar 13 Al-Duhail vs Al-Markhi… 0-1
UMM Salal Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 07 UMM Salal vs Al Wakrah 3-5
Sep 25 UMM Salal vs Qatar SC 1-3
Sep 19 UMM Salal vs Al Wahda … 2-1
Sep 06 UMM Salal vs Al-Dhafra 2-2
Aug 30 UMM Salal vs Al-Rayyan 0-0
Aug 01 UMM Salal vs Al Wahda … 0-1
Apr 25 UMM Salal vs Al Wahda … 0-1
Mar 02 UMM Salal vs Al-Duhail 6-1
Feb 15 UMM Salal vs Al-Rayyan 1-0
Feb 04 UMM Salal vs Qatar SC 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Duhail in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • UMM Salal in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 02, 2022 Al-Duhail 6 - 1 UMM Salal Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Duhail to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Duhail Power 0
UMM Salal Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Al-Duhail Position

+5

Position Gap

11

UMM Salal Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 14%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.