AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Nov 12, 2023

Melbourne City Women

Home
VS
06:45

Western Sydney Wanderers Women

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Women Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S75+DR<25 (81.8%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 66% Draw Risk: 23%
xG: 2.73 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.7 vs 0.4 Position gap: 9 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 3-0 (15%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (7%) 3-1 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Melbourne City Women Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 21 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 2-1
Oct 15 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Apr 15 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 3-3
Apr 02 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 3-3
Mar 26 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 4-3
Mar 18 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 1-1
Mar 13 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 2-0
Mar 04 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 0-4
Feb 04 Melbourne… vs Sydney FC… 3-0
Jan 29 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 Western S… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Oct 22 Western S… vs Wellingto… 0-3
Oct 14 Western S… vs Sydney FC… 2-0
Mar 19 Western S… vs Brisbane … 3-1
Mar 12 Western S… vs Canberra … 1-1
Mar 05 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-1
Feb 25 Western S… vs Canberra … 3-0
Feb 12 Western S… vs Wellingto… 1-0
Jan 28 Western S… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Jan 21 Western S… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 21, 2023 Melbourne City Women 1 - 0 Western Sydney Wand… W-League
Jan 08, 2023 Western Sydney Wand… 2 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Mar 06, 2022 Western Sydney Wand… 0 - 2 Melbourne City Women W-League
Feb 06, 2022 Melbourne City Women 2 - 1 Western Sydney Wand… W-League
Mar 11, 2021 Melbourne City Women 0 - 4 Western Sydney Wand… W-League
Feb 25, 2021 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City Women to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Melbourne City Women Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Western Sydney Wanderers Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.