AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
W-League Feb 06, 2022

Melbourne City Women

Home
VS
05:05

Western Sydney Wanderers Women

Away
AI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Melbourne City Women Win
65.0%
Draw
21.0%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Win
14.0%
Home Win (65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.04 - 0.84
Key Insights
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Melbourne City Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Melbourne City Women Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Melbourne… vs Brisbane … 1-2
Jan 15 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 0-1
Jan 09 Melbourne… vs Wellingto… 4-0
Dec 26 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-5
Dec 18 Melbourne… vs Adelaide … 3-1
Dec 12 Melbourne… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Dec 03 Melbourne… vs Canberra … 0-1
Mar 25 Melbourne… vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Mar 14 Melbourne… vs Newcastle… 1-0
Mar 11 Melbourne… vs Western S… 0-4
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 Western S… vs Adelaide … 0-3
Jan 23 Western S… vs Perth Glo… 1-0
Jan 09 Western S… vs Brisbane … 0-1
Dec 27 Western S… vs Sydney FC… 0-0
Dec 17 Western S… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Dec 11 Western S… vs Sydney FC… 0-2
Dec 03 Western S… vs Wellingto… 0-0
Mar 21 Western S… vs Adelaide … 3-1
Mar 11 Western S… vs Melbourne… 0-4
Feb 25 Western S… vs Melbourne… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Melbourne City Women in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 11, 2021 Melbourne City Women 0 - 4 Western Sydney Wand… W-League
Feb 25, 2021 Western Sydney Wand… 1 - 0 Melbourne City Women W-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Melbourne City Women to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Melbourne City Women Power 0
Western Sydney Wanderers Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Melbourne City Women Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Western Sydney Wanderers Women Position
Home Win Rate: 71%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.