AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Mar 30, 2024

AO Itabaiana

Home
VS
19:00

Dorense

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
AO Itabaiana Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Dorense Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 69%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 4.50 - 0.67
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Dorense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
AO Itabaiana Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 AO Itabai… vs Dorense 1-1
Mar 13 AO Itabai… vs Dorense 0-0
Mar 09 AO Itabai… vs Lagarto 2-2
Feb 18 AO Itabai… vs Falcon 4-0
Jan 31 AO Itabai… vs Atlético … 2-3
Jan 28 AO Itabai… vs Sergipe 0-2
Apr 08 AO Itabai… vs Sergipe 2-1
Apr 02 AO Itabai… vs Sergipe 2-1
Mar 26 AO Itabai… vs Falcon 1-1
Mar 18 AO Itabai… vs Falcon 1-1
Dorense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 16 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 1-1
Mar 13 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 0-0
Feb 17 Dorense vs Sergipe 1-0
Feb 03 Dorense vs Lagarto 3-1
Jan 27 Dorense vs América M… 0-2
Jan 13 Dorense vs Falcon 2-3
Mar 15 Dorense vs América M… 2-0
Feb 04 Dorense vs Lagarto 4-1
Jan 28 Dorense vs Falcon 3-0
Jan 21 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dorense struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 16, 2024 Dorense 1 - 1 AO Itabaiana Sergipano
Mar 13, 2024 Dorense 0 - 0 AO Itabaiana Sergipano
Jan 21, 2023 Dorense 0 - 1 AO Itabaiana Sergipano
Mar 28, 2021 AO Itabaiana 0 - 0 Dorense Sergipano
Feb 24, 2021 Dorense 0 - 0 AO Itabaiana Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AO Itabaiana to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AO Itabaiana Power 0
Dorense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AO Itabaiana Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Dorense Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.