AI Match Insights
Sergipano Mar 16, 2024
Dorense
HomeVS
18:30
AO Itabaiana
AwayAI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Dorense Win
Draw
AO Itabaiana Win
Home Win
(37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
Combined: 39%
Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.49
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dorense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (45%)
0-1 (22%)
1-0 (14%)
1-1 (7%)
0-2 (5%)
2-0 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
95%
Dorense Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | Dorense vs AO Itabai… | 0-0 |
| Feb 03 | Dorense vs Lagarto | 3-1 |
| Jan 27 | Dorense vs América M… | 0-2 |
| Jan 13 | Dorense vs Falcon | 2-3 |
| Mar 15 | Dorense vs América M… | 2-0 |
| Feb 04 | Dorense vs Lagarto | 4-1 |
| Jan 28 | Dorense vs Falcon | 3-0 |
| Jan 21 | Dorense vs AO Itabai… | 0-1 |
| Mar 28 | Dorense vs AO Itabai… | 0-0 |
| Feb 24 | Dorense vs AO Itabai… | 0-0 |
AO Itabaiana Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13 | AO Itabai… vs Dorense | 0-0 |
| Mar 09 | AO Itabai… vs Lagarto | 2-2 |
| Feb 18 | AO Itabai… vs Falcon | 4-0 |
| Jan 31 | AO Itabai… vs Atlético … | 2-3 |
| Jan 28 | AO Itabai… vs Sergipe | 0-2 |
| Apr 08 | AO Itabai… vs Sergipe | 2-1 |
| Apr 02 | AO Itabai… vs Sergipe | 2-1 |
| Mar 26 | AO Itabai… vs Falcon | 1-1 |
| Mar 18 | AO Itabai… vs Falcon | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | AO Itabai… vs Atlético … | 1-0 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Dorense struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024 | Dorense | 0 - 0 | AO Itabaiana | Sergipano |
| Jan 21, 2023 | Dorense | 0 - 1 | AO Itabaiana | Sergipano |
| Mar 28, 2021 | AO Itabaiana | 0 - 0 | Dorense | Sergipano |
| Feb 24, 2021 | Dorense | 0 - 0 | AO Itabaiana | Sergipano |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1
23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Dorense Power
0
AO Itabaiana Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
6
Dorense Position-4
Position Gap2
AO Itabaiana Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.