AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Mar 13, 2024

Dorense

Home
VS
18:30

AO Itabaiana

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Dorense Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
AO Itabaiana Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 44%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.30 - 0.78
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Dorense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (34%) 0-1 (26%) 0-2 (10%) 1-0 (10%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 14%
Over 2.5 Goals 10%
Under 2.5 Goals 90%
Dorense Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 03 Dorense vs Lagarto 3-1
Jan 27 Dorense vs América M… 0-2
Jan 13 Dorense vs Falcon 2-3
Mar 15 Dorense vs América M… 2-0
Feb 04 Dorense vs Lagarto 4-1
Jan 28 Dorense vs Falcon 3-0
Jan 21 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 0-1
Mar 28 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 0-0
Feb 24 Dorense vs AO Itabai… 0-0
AO Itabaiana Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 AO Itabai… vs Lagarto 2-2
Feb 18 AO Itabai… vs Falcon 4-0
Jan 31 AO Itabai… vs Atlético … 2-3
Jan 28 AO Itabai… vs Sergipe 0-2
Apr 08 AO Itabai… vs Sergipe 2-1
Apr 02 AO Itabai… vs Sergipe 2-1
Mar 26 AO Itabai… vs Falcon 1-1
Mar 18 AO Itabai… vs Falcon 1-1
Mar 15 AO Itabai… vs Atlético … 1-0
Feb 26 AO Itabai… vs Sergipe 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Dorense struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 21, 2023 Dorense 0 - 1 AO Itabaiana Sergipano
Mar 28, 2021 AO Itabaiana 0 - 0 Dorense Sergipano
Feb 24, 2021 Dorense 0 - 0 AO Itabaiana Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Dorense Power 0
AO Itabaiana Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Dorense Position

-4

Position Gap

2

AO Itabaiana Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.