AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Mar 28, 2021

AO Itabaiana

Home
VS
19:00

Dorense

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
AO Itabaiana Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Dorense Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 69%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.85
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AO Itabaiana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Dorense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Under 2.5 Goals 68%
AO Itabaiana Form 7.5%
Date Match Result
Mar 24 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Lagarto 0-2
Feb 24 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Dorense 0-0
Aug 02 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Sergipe 1-4
Jul 30 AO Itabaiā€¦ vs Sergipe 2-1
Dorense Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Dorense vs AO Itabaiā€¦ 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 24, 2021 Dorense 0 - 0 AO Itabaiana Sergipano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AO Itabaiana to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AO Itabaiana Power 0
Dorense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

AO Itabaiana Position

+4

Position Gap

6

Dorense Position
Home Win Rate: 75%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.