AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Sep 29, 2024

ZESCO United

Home
VS
13:00

Mufulira Wanderers

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
ZESCO United Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Mufulira Wanderers Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.42 - 0.24
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
ZESCO United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Mufulira Wanderers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
79%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 2-0 (19%) 0-0 (19%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 16%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
ZESCO United Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 ZESCO Uni… vs Nchanga R… 1-2
Sep 18 ZESCO Uni… vs Nkwazi 1-1
Sep 11 ZESCO Uni… vs Green Eag… 1-0
Sep 01 ZESCO Uni… vs Nkana 0-1
Jun 01 ZESCO Uni… vs Mufulira … 2-0
May 15 ZESCO Uni… vs Man Utd Z… 2-1
Apr 27 ZESCO Uni… vs Nkana 0-0
Apr 21 ZESCO Uni… vs Mutondo S… 0-0
Apr 18 ZESCO Uni… vs Red Arrows 2-0
Apr 07 ZESCO Uni… vs Zanaco 2-2
Mufulira Wanderers Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Mufulira … vs Mutondo S… 0-2
Aug 17 Mufulira … vs Power Dyn… 1-2
Jun 01 Mufulira … vs ZESCO Uni… 2-0
May 25 Mufulira … vs Power Dyn… 1-0
May 18 Mufulira … vs Konkola B… 1-0
Apr 21 Mufulira … vs NAPSA Sta… 1-1
Apr 18 Mufulira … vs Green Eag… 0-1
Mar 03 Mufulira … vs Mutondo S… 0-0
Feb 24 Mufulira … vs Red Arrows 0-0
Feb 17 Mufulira … vs Zanaco 5-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • ZESCO United in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Mufulira Wanderers struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jun 01, 2024 Mufulira Wanderers 2 - 0 ZESCO United Super League
Dec 23, 2023 ZESCO United 1 - 1 Mufulira Wanderers Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
ZESCO United Power 0
Mufulira Wanderers Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

ZESCO United Position

-2

Position Gap

6

Mufulira Wanderers Position
Home Win Rate: 56%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.