AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Aug 21, 2022

Nkana

Home
VS
13:00

Kabwe Warriors

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Nkana Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Kabwe Warriors Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 34%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.13 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nkana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Kabwe Warriors Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (26%) 2-0 (17%) 3-0 (6%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 15%
Under 2.5 Goals 85%
Nkana Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Nkana vs Prison Le… 0-2
Apr 06 Nkana vs Green Eag… 0-0
Mar 20 Nkana vs Green Eag… 1-1
Feb 26 Nkana vs Kansanshi… 0-0
Feb 19 Nkana vs ZESCO Uni… 2-1
Jan 27 Nkana vs Kabwe War… 1-0
Jan 15 Nkana vs Zanaco 1-1
Jan 08 Nkana vs Nkwazi 0-2
Nov 27 Nkana vs Prison Le… 1-0
Nov 21 Nkana vs Green Eag… 2-2
Kabwe Warriors Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Kabwe War… vs Nkwazi 2-0
Mar 19 Kabwe War… vs Power Dyn… 1-0
Feb 26 Kabwe War… vs Prison Le… 0-0
Feb 05 Kabwe War… vs Green Buf… 1-0
Jan 27 Kabwe War… vs Nkana 1-0
Jan 22 Kabwe War… vs Kansanshi… 0-0
Jan 16 Kabwe War… vs ZESCO Uni… 1-0
Nov 27 Kabwe War… vs Nkwazi 0-1
Nov 17 Kabwe War… vs Power Dyn… 2-0
Oct 23 Kabwe War… vs Prison Le… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Kabwe Warriors in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 27, 2022 Nkana 1 - 0 Kabwe Warriors Super League
Sep 26, 2021 Kabwe Warriors 0 - 1 Nkana Super League
Mar 03, 2021 Nkana 0 - 2 Kabwe Warriors Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nkana Power 0
Kabwe Warriors Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Nkana Position

-8

Position Gap

5

Kabwe Warriors Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 25%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.