AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Super League Mar 04, 2023

Nchanga Rangers

Home
VS
13:00

Red Arrows

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Nchanga Rangers Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Red Arrows Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.18 - 0.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nchanga Rangers Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Red Arrows Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
70%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (9%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 29%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Nchanga Rangers Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Nchanga R… vs Prison Le… 1-0
Feb 12 Nchanga R… vs Nkana 3-1
Jan 14 Nchanga R… vs Zanaco 2-1
Dec 10 Nchanga R… vs Kabwe War… 2-1
Nov 26 Nchanga R… vs ZESCO Uni… 3-1
Nov 16 Nchanga R… vs Power Dyn… 1-0
Nov 12 Nchanga R… vs Green Eag… 1-0
Oct 29 Nchanga R… vs Nkwazi 0-0
Oct 22 Nchanga R… vs Red Arrows 3-1
Oct 15 Nchanga R… vs Prison Le… 1-1
Red Arrows Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 1-1
Feb 11 Red Arrows vs Zanaco 0-0
Jan 14 Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… 0-3
Jan 07 Red Arrows vs NAPSA Sta… 3-1
Dec 10 Red Arrows vs Power Dyn… 4-0
Dec 03 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 0-1
Oct 22 Red Arrows vs Nchanga R… 3-1
Oct 08 Red Arrows vs Green Eag… 1-0
Oct 01 Red Arrows vs Zanaco 1-1
Aug 27 Red Arrows vs ZESCO Uni… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nchanga Rangers struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Red Arrows struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2022 Red Arrows 3 - 1 Nchanga Rangers Super League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nchanga Rangers to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nchanga Rangers Power 0
Red Arrows Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Nchanga Rangers Position

-2

Position Gap

1

Red Arrows Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.