AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Major League Soccer May 04, 2024

San Jose Earthquakes

Home
VS
23:30

Los Angeles FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
San Jose Earthquakes Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Los Angeles FC Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.10 - 0.54
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
San Jose Earthquakes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Los Angeles FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (16%) 1-0 (15%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 37%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
San Jose Earthquakes Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 09 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 1-1
May 21 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 2-1
May 06 San Jose … vs Los Angel… 2-1
Apr 26 San Jose … vs Monterrey 1-0
Feb 05 San Jose … vs Monterrey 1-2
Feb 04 San Jose … vs Monterrey 2-1
Los Angeles FC Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 28 Los Angel… vs Portland … 3-2
Apr 13 Los Angel… vs Portland … 2-2
Dec 09 Los Angel… vs Columbus … 2-1
Dec 03 Los Angel… vs Houston D… 2-0
Nov 27 Los Angel… vs Seattle S… 0-1
Nov 06 Los Angel… vs Vancouver… 0-1
Sep 10 Los Angel… vs Portland … 2-0
Jul 09 Los Angel… vs San Jose … 1-1
May 21 Los Angel… vs San Jose … 2-1
May 06 Los Angel… vs San Jose … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Los Angeles FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 09, 2023 Los Angeles FC 1 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League S…
May 21, 2023 Los Angeles FC 2 - 1 San Jose Earthquakes Major League S…
May 06, 2023 San Jose Earthquakes 2 - 1 Los Angeles FC Major League S…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: San Jose Earthquakes to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
San Jose Earthquakes Power 0
Los Angeles FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.