AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sul-Matogrossense Mar 17, 2024

Costa Rica

Home
VS
20:00

Dourados Atlético

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Costa Rica Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Dourados Atlético Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.77 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.8 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Costa Rica Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Dourados Atlético Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (38%) 1-0 (29%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 10%
Over 2.5 Goals 7%
Under 2.5 Goals 93%
Costa Rica Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 0-0
Jan 28 Costa Rica vs Portugues… 2-0
Apr 16 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 0-1
Apr 08 Costa Rica vs Ivinhema 0-1
Apr 10 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-5
Mar 24 Costa Rica vs Dourados … 1-0
Dourados Atlético Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 Dourados … vs Ivinhema 1-0
Feb 10 Dourados … vs Ivinhema 1-2
Apr 10 Dourados … vs Costa Rica 1-5
Mar 24 Dourados … vs Costa Rica 1-0
Feb 26 Dourados … vs Águia Neg… 1-0
Feb 06 Dourados … vs Águia Neg… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Costa Rica in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Dourados Atlético in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 10, 2022 Dourados Atlético 1 - 5 Costa Rica Sul-Matogrosse…
Mar 24, 2022 Costa Rica 1 - 0 Dourados Atlético Sul-Matogrosse…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Costa Rica Power 0
Dourados Atlético Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Costa Rica Position

+1

Position Gap

7

Dourados Atlético Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.