AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Profesional Argentina May 26, 2024

Sarmiento de Junín

Home
VS
20:30

Independ. Rivadavia

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Sarmiento de Junín Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Independ. Rivadavia Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 30%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.82 - 0.77
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sarmiento de Junín Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
44%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Independ. Rivadavia Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (20%) 1-0 (17%) 0-1 (16%) 1-1 (13%) 2-0 (7%) 0-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Under 2.5 Goals 79%
Sarmiento de Junín Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
May 10 Sarmiento… vs Instituto… 1-2
Apr 14 Sarmiento… vs Platense 0-1
Mar 16 Sarmiento… vs San Loren… 1-0
Nov 25 Sarmiento… vs Platense 1-0
Oct 30 Sarmiento… vs San Loren… 0-0
Jul 29 Sarmiento… vs Banfield 0-0
Apr 08 Sarmiento… vs Argentino… 2-0
Feb 20 Sarmiento… vs San Loren… 0-1
Oct 23 Sarmiento… vs Banfield 0-0
Oct 18 Sarmiento… vs San Loren… 2-4
Independ. Rivadavia Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Independ.… vs Atlético … 2-2
Feb 04 Independ.… vs Huracan 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sarmiento de Junín struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sarmiento de Junín to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sarmiento de Junín Power 0
Independ. Rivadavia Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

29

Sarmiento de Junín Position

-11

Position Gap

18

Independ. Rivadavia Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.