AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Apr 19, 2023

Paysandu SC

Home
VS
23:00

Tuna Luso

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Paysandu SC Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
Tuna Luso Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 5%
xG: 4.50 - 0.69
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Paysandu SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
50%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (3%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Paysandu SC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 1-4
Mar 18 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 2-1
Jan 30 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 0-3
May 23 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 4-1
May 16 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 4-2
Apr 24 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 2-0
Tuna Luso Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 1-4
Mar 18 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Feb 11 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-2
Apr 06 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Apr 02 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Feb 06 Tuna Luso vs Amazônia … 2-4
Jan 30 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 0-3
Jan 26 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-1
May 23 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-1
May 16 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paysandu SC in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Tuna Luso struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 16, 2023 Tuna Luso 1 - 4 Paysandu SC Paraense
Mar 18, 2023 Paysandu SC 2 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
Jan 30, 2022 Tuna Luso 0 - 3 Paysandu SC Paraense
May 23, 2021 Paysandu SC 4 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
May 16, 2021 Tuna Luso 4 - 2 Paysandu SC Paraense
Apr 24, 2021 Paysandu SC 2 - 0 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paysandu SC to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paysandu SC Power 0
Tuna Luso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Paysandu SC Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Tuna Luso Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.