AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Apr 16, 2023

Tuna Luso

Home
VS
13:00

Paysandu SC

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Tuna Luso Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Paysandu SC Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-3
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 38%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 4.50 - 3.36
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 3.4
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Paysandu SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-3 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-3 (2%) 2-2 (2%) 3-1 (2%) 2-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 95%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Tuna Luso Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-1
Feb 11 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-2
Apr 06 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Apr 02 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Feb 06 Tuna Luso vs Amazônia … 2-4
Jan 30 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 0-3
Jan 26 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-1
May 23 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-1
May 16 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-2
Apr 24 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-0
Paysandu SC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 2-1
Jan 30 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 0-3
May 23 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 4-1
May 16 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 4-2
Apr 24 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paysandu SC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Tuna Luso struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 18, 2023 Paysandu SC 2 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
Jan 30, 2022 Tuna Luso 0 - 3 Paysandu SC Paraense
May 23, 2021 Paysandu SC 4 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
May 16, 2021 Tuna Luso 4 - 2 Paysandu SC Paraense
Apr 24, 2021 Paysandu SC 2 - 0 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tuna Luso Power 0
Paysandu SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Tuna Luso Position

-6

Position Gap

3

Paysandu SC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.