AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense Mar 18, 2023

Paysandu SC

Home
VS
20:00

Tuna Luso

Away
AI Predictions 55.5% Confidence
Paysandu SC Win
55.5%
Draw
22.9%
Tuna Luso Win
21.6%
Home Win (56% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 4%
xG: 4.50 - 0.49
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5 Position gap: 6 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Paysandu SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Paysandu SC Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 30 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 0-3
May 23 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 4-1
May 16 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 4-2
Apr 24 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 2-0
Tuna Luso Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 11 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-2
Apr 06 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Apr 02 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Feb 06 Tuna Luso vs Amazônia … 2-4
Jan 30 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 0-3
Jan 26 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 1-1
May 23 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-1
May 16 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-2
Apr 24 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-0
Feb 28 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paysandu SC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Tuna Luso struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 30, 2022 Tuna Luso 0 - 3 Paysandu SC Paraense
May 23, 2021 Paysandu SC 4 - 1 Tuna Luso Paraense
May 16, 2021 Tuna Luso 4 - 2 Paysandu SC Paraense
Apr 24, 2021 Paysandu SC 2 - 0 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paysandu SC to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paysandu SC Power 0
Tuna Luso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Paysandu SC Position

+6

Position Gap

10

Tuna Luso Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.