AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Paraense May 23, 2021

Paysandu SC

Home
VS
20:00

Tuna Luso

Away
AI Predictions 50.0% Confidence
Paysandu SC Win
50.0%
Draw
24.0%
Tuna Luso Win
26.0%
Home Win (50% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 1.82 - 0.93
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.9 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paysandu SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (11%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (6%) 0-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
Paysandu SC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 16 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 4-2
Apr 24 Paysandu … vs Tuna Luso 2-0
Tuna Luso Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
May 16 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 4-2
Apr 24 Tuna Luso vs Paysandu … 2-0
Feb 28 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 16, 2021 Tuna Luso 4 - 2 Paysandu SC Paraense
Apr 24, 2021 Paysandu SC 2 - 0 Tuna Luso Paraense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paysandu SC to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paysandu SC Power 0
Tuna Luso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Paysandu SC Position

+6

Position Gap

10

Tuna Luso Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.