AI Match Insights

Paraense Apr 24, 2021

Paysandu SC

Home
VS
20:00

Tuna Luso

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Paysandu SC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Tuna Luso Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 0.00 - 0.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.6 vs 1.0 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paysandu SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Tuna Luso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Paysandu SC Form 50%

No recent form data available

Tuna Luso Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 28 Tuna Luso vs Águia de … 3-2
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paysandu SC to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paysandu SC Power 0
Tuna Luso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Paysandu SC Position

+6

Position Gap

9

Tuna Luso Position

Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.