AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera B Aug 21, 2023

Tigres FC

Home
VS
20:30

Orsomarso

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Tigres FC Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Orsomarso Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.51 - 0.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.3
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tigres FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Orsomarso Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (16%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 28%
Under 2.5 Goals 72%
Tigres FC Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 08 Tigres FC vs Popayan 1-2
Mar 19 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 0-1
Mar 05 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 2-0
Sep 18 Tigres FC vs Popayan 3-2
Sep 12 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 1-0
Jul 30 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 1-1
Mar 26 Tigres FC vs Popayan 2-0
Feb 26 Tigres FC vs Orsomarso 0-2
Feb 23 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 1-1
Feb 13 Tigres FC vs Leones FC 3-1
Orsomarso Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Orsomarso vs Tigres FC 2-0
Sep 12 Orsomarso vs Tigres FC 1-0
Feb 26 Orsomarso vs Tigres FC 0-2
Oct 18 Orsomarso vs Union Mag… 1-2
Feb 06 Orsomarso vs Union Mag… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tigres FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Orsomarso struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2023 Orsomarso 2 - 0 Tigres FC Primera B
Sep 12, 2022 Tigres FC 1 - 0 Orsomarso Primera B
Feb 26, 2022 Orsomarso 0 - 2 Tigres FC Primera B
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Tigres FC Power 0
Orsomarso Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Tigres FC Position

-1

Position Gap

6

Orsomarso Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 100%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.