AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League 2 Division One Aug 14, 2023

Stoke City U21

Home
VS
18:00

Reading FC U21

Away
AI Predictions 37.5% Confidence
Stoke City U21 Win
35.7%
Draw
26.9%
Reading FC U21 Win
37.5%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 71%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.97
Key Insights
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Stoke City U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Reading FC U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (12%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Stoke City U21 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 Stoke Cit… vs Leeds Uni… 1-1
Apr 14 Stoke Cit… vs Southampt… 2-0
Mar 20 Stoke Cit… vs Derby Cou… 1-6
Nov 07 Stoke Cit… vs Derby Cou… 4-0
Sep 30 Stoke Cit… vs Leeds Uni… 4-0
Aug 19 Stoke Cit… vs Southampt… 0-3
Reading FC U21 Form 16.7%
Date Match Result
May 01 Reading F… vs Birmingha… 1-1
Sep 05 Reading F… vs Hull City… 1-2
Aug 15 Reading F… vs Burnley U… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

PRO: Stoke City U21 to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Stoke City U21 Power 34
Reading FC U21 Power 47
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

11

Stoke City U21 Position

+13

Position Gap

24

Reading FC U21 Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.