AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Alagoano Jan 24, 2024

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Home
VS
21:30

CSA

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
CSA Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 48%
xG: 1.47 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (48%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
CSA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Cruzeiro … vs ASA 2-1
Feb 26 Cruzeiro … vs ASA 1-2
Feb 11 Cruzeiro … vs CSA 1-0
Feb 04 Cruzeiro … vs Coruripe 1-2
Jan 29 Cruzeiro … vs CSE 0-1
Jan 18 Cruzeiro … vs Murici FC 1-2
Jan 15 Cruzeiro … vs CRB 2-1
Mar 12 Cruzeiro … vs ASA 0-0
Mar 02 Cruzeiro … vs CSA 2-0
Feb 03 Cruzeiro … vs Murici FC 1-0
CSA Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 CSA vs Coruripe 1-0
Mar 04 CSA vs CRB 0-0
Feb 26 CSA vs Coruripe 1-1
Feb 11 CSA vs Cruzeiro … 1-0
Jan 28 CSA vs CRB 3-1
Jan 23 CSA vs Murici FC 4-0
Jan 16 CSA vs ASA 0-0
Jan 14 CSA vs CSE 1-0
Sep 10 CSA vs CRB 1-1
Jun 02 CSA vs CRB 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruzeiro Arapiraca struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 11, 2023 CSA 1 - 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Alagoano
Mar 02, 2022 CSA 2 - 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Alagoano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Power 0
CSA Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Position

-3

Position Gap

3

CSA Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.