AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Alagoano Feb 11, 2023

CSA

Home
VS
19:00

Cruzeiro Arapiraca

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
CSA Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 55%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 3.05 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.2
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
CSA Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (18%) 2-0 (18%) 1-0 (12%) 0-0 (4%) 3-1 (4%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
CSA Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 28 CSA vs CRB 3-1
Jan 23 CSA vs Murici FC 4-0
Jan 16 CSA vs ASA 0-0
Jan 14 CSA vs CSE 1-0
Sep 10 CSA vs CRB 1-1
Jun 02 CSA vs CRB 0-0
Apr 12 CSA vs Murici FC 8-0
Apr 09 CSA vs Murici FC 0-2
Apr 06 CSA vs CRB 0-1
Apr 02 CSA vs CRB 0-1
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Cruzeiro … vs Coruripe 1-2
Jan 29 Cruzeiro … vs CSE 0-1
Jan 18 Cruzeiro … vs Murici FC 1-2
Jan 15 Cruzeiro … vs CRB 2-1
Mar 12 Cruzeiro … vs ASA 0-0
Mar 02 Cruzeiro … vs CSA 2-0
Feb 03 Cruzeiro … vs Murici FC 1-0
Jan 29 Cruzeiro … vs CRB 1-0
Jan 23 Cruzeiro … vs CSE 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Cruzeiro Arapiraca struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 02, 2022 CSA 2 - 0 Cruzeiro Arapiraca Alagoano
Final Verdict

STANDARD: CSA to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
CSA Power 0
Cruzeiro Arapiraca Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

CSA Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Cruzeiro Arapiraca Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.