AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Bundesliga Dec 07, 2024

Bayer Leverkusen

Home
VS
14:30

FC St. Pauli

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Bayer Leverkusen Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
FC St. Pauli Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 87%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 3.22 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 0.3 Position gap: 11 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Bayer Leverkusen Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
FC St. Pauli Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (16%) 2-0 (15%) 1-0 (10%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 0-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Under 2.5 Goals 42%
Bayer Leverkusen Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Bayer Lev… vs Bayern Mu… 0-1
Nov 30 Bayer Lev… vs Union Ber… 1-2
Nov 23 Bayer Lev… vs 1899 Hoff… 5-2
Nov 09 Bayer Lev… vs VfL Bochum 1-1
Nov 01 Bayer Lev… vs VfB Stutt… 0-0
Nov 01 Bayer Lev… vs VfB Stutt… 0-0
Oct 29 Bayer Lev… vs SV Elvers… 3-0
Oct 26 Bayer Lev… vs Werder Br… 2-2
Oct 26 Bayer Lev… vs Werder Br… 2-2
Oct 19 Bayer Lev… vs Eintracht… 2-1
FC St. Pauli Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 29 FC St. Pa… vs Holstein … 3-1
Nov 24 FC St. Pa… vs Borussia … 2-0
Nov 24 FC St. Pa… vs M'gladbach 2-0
Nov 09 FC St. Pa… vs Bayern Mu… 0-1
Nov 09 FC St. Pa… vs Bayern Mu… 0-1
Nov 02 FC St. Pa… vs 1899 Hoff… 0-2
Oct 29 FC St. Pa… vs RB Leipzig 4-2
Oct 26 FC St. Pa… vs VfL Wolfs… 0-0
Oct 26 FC St. Pa… vs VfL Wolfs… 0-0
Oct 18 FC St. Pa… vs Borussia … 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Bayer Leverkusen in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • FC St. Pauli struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

PRO: Bayer Leverkusen to win (73% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 1-0 73% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Bayer Leverkusen Power 42
FC St. Pauli Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Bayer Leverkusen Position

+11

Position Gap

17

FC St. Pauli Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.