AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division May 10, 2021

Managua FC

Home
VS
02:00

Real Madriz

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Managua FC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Real Madriz Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.63 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Managua FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Real Madriz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Managua FC Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Managua FC vs Real Madr… 1-0
Feb 03 Managua FC vs Real Madr… 4-1
Oct 26 Managua FC vs Real Madr… 0-1
Real Madriz Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Real Madr… vs Managua FC 1-0
Apr 01 Real Madr… vs Real Este… 0-1
Mar 06 Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… 2-0
Feb 03 Real Madr… vs Managua FC 4-1
Feb 01 Real Madr… vs Real Este… 0-1
Jan 24 Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… 1-1
Oct 26 Real Madr… vs Managua FC 0-1
Oct 19 Real Madr… vs Real Este… 1-0
Sep 28 Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… 2-2
Aug 02 Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madriz struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 15, 2021 Real Madriz 1 - 0 Managua FC Primera Divisi…
Feb 03, 2021 Managua FC 4 - 1 Real Madriz Primera Divisi…
Oct 26, 2020 Managua FC 0 - 1 Real Madriz Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Managua FC to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Managua FC Power 0
Real Madriz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Managua FC Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Real Madriz Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.