AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Oct 26, 2020

Managua FC

Home
VS
01:00

Real Madriz

Away
AI Predictions 40.7% Confidence
Managua FC Win
31.7%
Draw
27.7%
Real Madriz Win
40.7%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 1.93 - 1.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.2 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Managua FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Real Madriz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
29%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Under 2.5 Goals 40%
Managua FC Form 50%

No recent form data available

Real Madriz Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Real Madrā€¦ vs Real Esteā€¦ 1-0
Sep 28 Real Madrā€¦ vs Walter Feā€¦ 2-2
Aug 02 Real Madrā€¦ vs Walter Feā€¦ 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Managua FC to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Managua FC Power 0
Real Madriz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Managua FC Position

+7

Position Gap

10

Real Madriz Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.