AI Match Insights

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Primera Division Jan 28, 2024

Matagalpa

Home
VS
21:00

Managua FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Matagalpa Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Managua FC Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.42 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.8
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Matagalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Managua FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (16%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 37%
Under 2.5 Goals 63%
Matagalpa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 21 Matagalpa vs Walter Feā€¦ 1-0
Nov 09 Matagalpa vs H&H Export 2-0
Oct 08 Matagalpa vs DiriangƩn 1-0
Oct 01 Matagalpa vs Managua FC 0-3
Aug 05 Matagalpa vs Managua FC 1-2
Managua FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 30 Managua FC vs Managua FC 4-1
Nov 26 Managua FC vs H&H Export 5-1
Oct 23 Managua FC vs Walter Feā€¦ 1-0
Oct 01 Managua FC vs Matagalpa 0-3
Sep 19 Managua FC vs H&H Export 5-0
Aug 20 Managua FC vs Walter Feā€¦ 0-0
Aug 05 Managua FC vs Matagalpa 1-2
Apr 28 Managua FC vs Real Madrā€¦ 3-0
Mar 07 Managua FC vs Real Madrā€¦ 1-0
Nov 18 Managua FC vs Real Madrā€¦ 1-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Matagalpa in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Managua FC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 01, 2023 Matagalpa 0 - 3 Managua FC Primera Divisiā€¦
Aug 05, 2023 Managua FC 1 - 2 Matagalpa Primera Divisiā€¦
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Matagalpa Power 0
Managua FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Matagalpa Position

-2

Position Gap

3

Managua FC Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.