AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 May 14, 2022

Estac Troyes

Home
VS
19:00

Lens

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Estac Troyes Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Lens Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 1.70 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.5
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Estac Troyes Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
6%
Lens Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 0-0 (11%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 36%
Under 2.5 Goals 64%
Estac Troyes Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 03 Estac Tro… vs Reims 1-0
Jan 16 Estac Tro… vs Lyon 0-1
Nov 05 Estac Tro… vs Lens 4-0
Oct 24 Estac Tro… vs Reims 1-2
Sep 22 Estac Tro… vs Lyon 3-1
Apr 03 Estac Tro… vs Guingamp 1-0
Feb 13 Estac Tro… vs Rodez 2-1
Dec 01 Estac Tro… vs Guingamp 1-2
Oct 17 Estac Tro… vs Rodez 0-1
Jul 09 Estac Tro… vs Reims 3-1
Lens Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 30 Lens vs Nantes 2-2
Apr 10 Lens vs Nice 3-0
Apr 03 Lens vs Strasbourg 1-0
Feb 27 Lens vs Angers 1-2
Jan 22 Lens vs Marseille 0-2
Dec 22 Lens vs Nice 2-1
Dec 10 Lens vs Nantes 3-2
Nov 26 Lens vs Angers 2-2
Nov 05 Lens vs Estac Tro… 4-0
Sep 26 Lens vs Marseille 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Estac Troyes struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 05, 2021 Lens 4 - 0 Estac Troyes Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (28% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 28% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Estac Troyes Power 42
Lens Power 44
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.