AI Match Insights

Ligue 1 Feb 23, 2025

Nice

Home
VS
16:15

Montpellier HSC

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Nice Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Montpellier HSC Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 2%
xG: 4.40 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.4 vs 0.2
Score Prediction Analysis
Nice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Montpellier HSC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (10%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%
Nice Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 Nice vs LE Havre … 1-3
Feb 08 Nice vs Lens 2-0
Feb 05 Nice vs Stade Bri… 2-1
Feb 02 Nice vs Toulouse 1-1
Jan 26 Nice vs Marseille 2-0
Jan 17 Nice vs Lille 2-1
Jan 14 Nice vs Bastia 0-1
Jan 11 Nice vs Reims 2-4
Jan 03 Nice vs Rennes FC 3-2
Dec 15 Nice vs Montpelli… 2-2
Montpellier HSC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 Montpelli… vs Lyon 1-4
Feb 09 Montpelli… vs Strasbourg 2-0
Jan 31 Montpelli… vs Lens 0-2
Jan 26 Montpelli… vs Toulouse 1-2
Jan 17 Montpelli… vs Monaco 2-1
Jan 12 Montpelli… vs Angers 1-3
Jan 04 Montpelli… vs Lyon 1-0
Dec 21 Montpelli… vs Le Puy Fo… 4-0
Dec 15 Montpelli… vs Nice 2-2
Dec 15 Montpelli… vs Nice 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nice in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Montpellier HSC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 15, 2024 Montpellier HSC 2 - 2 Nice Pro League
Dec 15, 2024 Montpellier HSC 2 - 2 Nice Ligue 1
Mar 08, 2024 Nice 1 - 2 Montpellier HSC Pro League
Mar 08, 2024 Nice 1 - 2 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Feb 07, 2024 Montpellier HSC 1 - 4 Nice Coupe de France
Nov 10, 2023 Montpellier HSC 0 - 0 Nice Ligue 1
Jul 22, 2023 Nice 1 - 0 Montpellier HSC Friendlies Clu…
May 27, 2023 Montpellier HSC 2 - 3 Nice Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2023 Nice 6 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Mar 12, 2022 Montpellier HSC 0 - 0 Nice Ligue 1
Final Verdict

PRO: Nice to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 86
Nice Power 29
Montpellier HSC Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.