AI Match Insights

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Ligue 1 Mar 08, 2024

Nice

Home
VS
20:00

Montpellier HSC

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Nice Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Montpellier HSC Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 83%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 39%
xG: 1.89 - 0.68
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Montpellier HSC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 3-0 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 46%
Under 2.5 Goals 54%
Nice Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Nice vs Toulouse 2-1
Mar 03 Nice vs Toulouse 2-1
Feb 25 Nice vs Clermont 0-0
Feb 16 Nice vs Lyon 1-0
Feb 11 Nice vs Monaco 2-3
Feb 07 Nice vs Montpelliā€¦ 1-4
Feb 04 Nice vs Brest 0-0
Feb 04 Nice vs Stade Breā€¦ 0-0
Jan 27 Nice vs Metz 1-0
Jan 27 Nice vs Metz 1-0
Montpellier HSC Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 03 Montpelliā€¦ vs Strasbourg 2-2
Feb 25 Montpelliā€¦ vs Marseille 4-1
Feb 18 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 3-0
Feb 18 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 3-0
Feb 11 Montpelliā€¦ vs Lyon 1-2
Feb 07 Montpelliā€¦ vs Nice 1-4
Feb 03 Montpelliā€¦ vs Rennes FC 2-1
Jan 28 Montpelliā€¦ vs Lille 0-0
Jan 24 Montpelliā€¦ vs Feignies-ā€¦ 0-4
Jan 14 Montpelliā€¦ vs Brest 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Nice struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 07, 2024 Montpellier HSC 1 - 4 Nice Coupe de France
Nov 10, 2023 Montpellier HSC 0 - 0 Nice Ligue 1
Jul 22, 2023 Nice 1 - 0 Montpellier HSC Friendlies Cluā€¦
May 27, 2023 Montpellier HSC 2 - 3 Nice Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2023 Nice 6 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Mar 12, 2022 Montpellier HSC 0 - 0 Nice Ligue 1
Final Verdict

PRO: Nice to win (70% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 70% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 86
Nice Power 29
Montpellier HSC Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.