AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Nov 10, 2023

Montpellier HSC

Home
VS
20:00

Nice

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Montpellier HSC Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Nice Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.51 - 0.84
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.5 vs 0.8
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Montpellier HSC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Nice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
43%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
15%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 41%
Under 2.5 Goals 59%
Montpellier HSC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Jul 22 Montpelliā€¦ vs Nice 1-0
May 27 Montpelliā€¦ vs Nice 2-3
Jan 11 Montpelliā€¦ vs Nice 6-1
Jan 06 Montpelliā€¦ vs Pau FC 2-1
May 01 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 2-2
Mar 12 Montpelliā€¦ vs Nice 0-0
Dec 01 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 1-3
Jul 31 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 1-0
Feb 03 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 1-1
Dec 16 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 0-2
Nice Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 21 Nice vs Marseille 1-0
Oct 01 Nice vs Stade Breā€¦ 0-0
Sep 03 Nice vs Strasbourg 2-0
Aug 20 Nice vs Lorient 1-1
Jul 29 Nice vs SC Braga 2-0
Jul 22 Nice vs Montpelliā€¦ 1-0
May 27 Nice vs Montpelliā€¦ 2-3
May 21 Nice vs Toulouse 0-0
May 13 Nice vs Strasbourg 2-0
Apr 16 Nice vs Stade Breā€¦ 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Montpellier HSC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 22, 2023 Nice 1 - 0 Montpellier HSC Friendlies Cluā€¦
May 27, 2023 Montpellier HSC 2 - 3 Nice Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2023 Nice 6 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Mar 12, 2022 Montpellier HSC 0 - 0 Nice Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (28% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 28% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Montpellier HSC Power 37
Nice Power 29
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.