AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Jul 22, 2023

Nice

Home
VS
08:30

Montpellier HSC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Nice Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Montpellier HSC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 4.50 - 0.71
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Nice Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Montpellier HSC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 1-0 (2%) 3-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Nice Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
May 27 Nice vs Montpelliā€¦ 2-3
May 21 Nice vs Toulouse 0-0
May 13 Nice vs Strasbourg 2-0
Apr 16 Nice vs Stade Breā€¦ 1-0
Apr 02 Nice vs Angers 1-1
Mar 19 Nice vs Lorient 1-1
Mar 12 Nice vs Nantes 2-2
Feb 05 Nice vs Marseille 1-3
Feb 01 Nice vs Lens 0-1
Jan 11 Nice vs Montpelliā€¦ 6-1
Montpellier HSC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
May 27 Montpelliā€¦ vs Nice 2-3
Jan 11 Montpelliā€¦ vs Nice 6-1
Jan 06 Montpelliā€¦ vs Pau FC 2-1
May 01 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 2-2
Mar 12 Montpelliā€¦ vs Nice 0-0
Dec 01 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 1-3
Jul 31 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 1-0
Feb 03 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 1-1
Dec 16 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 0-2
Aug 22 Montpelliā€¦ vs Metz 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Montpellier HSC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 27, 2023 Montpellier HSC 2 - 3 Nice Ligue 1
Jan 11, 2023 Nice 6 - 1 Montpellier HSC Ligue 1
Mar 12, 2022 Montpellier HSC 0 - 0 Nice Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Nice to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 2-1 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Nice Power 29
Montpellier HSC Power 37
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.