AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Jan 29, 2023

Al Sailiya SC

Home
VS
13:35

Al-Gharafa

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Al Sailiya SC Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Al-Gharafa Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.24 - 1.35
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Sailiya SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Al-Gharafa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-0 (7%) 2-2 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 67%
Under 2.5 Goals 33%
Al Sailiya SC Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 24 Al Sailiy… vs Al Wakrah 5-0
Jan 05 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Rayyan 2-0
Oct 07 Al Sailiy… vs Qatar SC 0-2
Oct 01 Al Sailiy… vs Al Wakrah 1-0
Sep 19 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Sadd SC 4-0
Sep 06 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Arabi … 1-5
Sep 03 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Arabi … 1-1
Aug 30 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Sadd SC 1-2
Aug 15 Al Sailiy… vs Qatar SC 1-2
Aug 10 Al Sailiy… vs Al Shamal… 2-1
Al-Gharafa Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 02 Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… 2-1
Mar 10 Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… 3-2
Dec 29 Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… 3-0
Dec 08 Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… 3-0
Nov 08 Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… 3-1
Feb 13 Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Gharafa in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Al Sailiya SC struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 02, 2022 Al-Gharafa 2 - 1 Al Sailiya SC Stars League
Mar 10, 2022 Al Sailiya SC 3 - 2 Al-Gharafa Stars League
Dec 29, 2021 Al-Gharafa 3 - 0 Al Sailiya SC Stars League
Dec 08, 2021 Al Sailiya SC 3 - 0 Al-Gharafa QSL Cup
Nov 08, 2021 Al-Gharafa 3 - 1 Al Sailiya SC QSL Cup
Feb 13, 2021 Al-Gharafa 0 - 1 Al Sailiya SC Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Sailiya SC Power 0
Al-Gharafa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Al Sailiya SC Position

-9

Position Gap

1

Al-Gharafa Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.