AI Match Insights
Stars League Aug 02, 2022
Al-Gharafa
HomeVS
16:45
Al Sailiya SC
AwayAI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Al-Gharafa Win
Draw
Al Sailiya SC Win
Home Win
(39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
Combined: 56%
Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 2.99 - 1.03
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 1.0
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Gharafa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Al Sailiya SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%)
3-1 (8%)
2-0 (8%)
3-0 (8%)
1-1 (6%)
1-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
61%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
Al-Gharafa Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-2 |
| Dec 29 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-0 |
| Dec 08 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-0 |
| Nov 08 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 3-1 |
| Feb 13 | Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… | 0-1 |
Al Sailiya SC Form 14.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 28 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Mesaim… | 2-2 |
| Apr 23 | Al Sailiy… vs Al-Bidda | 2-2 |
| Apr 23 | Al Sailiy… vs Al-Arabi … | 3-3 |
| Apr 18 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Wakrah | 4-1 |
| Apr 13 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Shamal… | 2-3 |
| Apr 13 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Wakrah | 0-1 |
| Apr 08 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Shamal… | 2-3 |
| Mar 28 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Wakrah | 4-5 |
| Mar 23 | Al Sailiy… vs Al-Rayyan | 3-2 |
| Mar 19 | Al Sailiy… vs Al Kharai… | 3-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Al-Gharafa struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2022 | Al Sailiya SC | 3 - 2 | Al-Gharafa | Stars League |
| Dec 29, 2021 | Al-Gharafa | 3 - 0 | Al Sailiya SC | Stars League |
| Dec 08, 2021 | Al Sailiya SC | 3 - 0 | Al-Gharafa | QSL Cup |
| Nov 08, 2021 | Al-Gharafa | 3 - 1 | Al Sailiya SC | QSL Cup |
| Feb 13, 2021 | Al-Gharafa | 0 - 1 | Al Sailiya SC | Stars League |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Al-Gharafa to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Al-Gharafa Power
0
Al Sailiya SC Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Al-Gharafa Position+9
Position Gap10
Al Sailiya SC Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.