AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Stars League Dec 29, 2021

Al-Gharafa

Home
VS
15:20

Al Sailiya SC

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Al-Gharafa Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Al Sailiya SC Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 78%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 1.87 - 1.03
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 1.0 Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Gharafa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Al Sailiya SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (11%) 1-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 54%
Under 2.5 Goals 46%
Al-Gharafa Form 6.7%
Date Match Result
Dec 08 Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… 3-0
Nov 08 Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… 3-1
Feb 13 Al-Gharafa vs Al Sailiy… 0-1
Al Sailiya SC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 13 Al Sailiy… vs Qatar SC 0-3
Dec 08 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Gharafa 3-0
Nov 21 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Arabi … 3-1
Nov 15 Al Sailiy… vs Qatar SC 8-0
Nov 08 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Gharafa 3-1
Nov 04 Al Sailiy… vs Qatar SC 2-1
Oct 26 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Rayyan 4-2
Oct 23 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Arabi … 1-3
Oct 16 Al Sailiy… vs Al Wakrah 0-1
Sep 25 Al Sailiy… vs Al-Duhail 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Sailiya SC in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 08, 2021 Al Sailiya SC 3 - 0 Al-Gharafa QSL Cup
Nov 08, 2021 Al-Gharafa 3 - 1 Al Sailiya SC QSL Cup
Feb 13, 2021 Al-Gharafa 0 - 1 Al Sailiya SC Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Gharafa to win (63% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Gharafa Power 0
Al Sailiya SC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

1

Al-Gharafa Position

+9

Position Gap

10

Al Sailiya SC Position
Home Win Rate: 86%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.