AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Mar 15, 2025

Rayon Sports

Home
VS
16:00

AS Kigali

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Rayon Sports Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
AS Kigali Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 64% Draw Risk: 11%
xG: 2.98 - 0.64
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.0 vs 0.6 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Rayon Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (12%) 3-0 (12%) 1-0 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Under 2.5 Goals 38%
Rayon Sports Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 14 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-3
May 05 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 4-2
Dec 09 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 2-1
Mar 12 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-1
Nov 24 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-0
Apr 23 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-0
Dec 18 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-2
AS Kigali Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 2-1
Feb 16 AS Kigali vs APR 2-1
Feb 08 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 1-0
Jan 07 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 1-0
Jan 04 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 1-2
Dec 14 AS Kigali vs Rayon Spo… 1-3
Dec 07 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 1-2
Dec 01 AS Kigali vs APR 0-1
Nov 10 AS Kigali vs Police 1-0
Sep 21 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rayon Sports in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • AS Kigali struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 14, 2024 AS Kigali 1 - 3 Rayon Sports National Socce…
May 05, 2024 Rayon Sports 4 - 2 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 09, 2023 AS Kigali 2 - 1 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Mar 12, 2023 AS Kigali 1 - 1 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Nov 24, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Apr 23, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 18, 2021 AS Kigali 1 - 2 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rayon Sports Power 0
AS Kigali Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Rayon Sports Position

+5

Position Gap

14

AS Kigali Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.