AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Dec 14, 2024

AS Kigali

Home
VS
16:00

Rayon Sports

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
AS Kigali Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Rayon Sports Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.14 - 0.64
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Rayon Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (17%) 1-1 (12%) 2-0 (11%) 0-1 (11%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
AS Kigali Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 1-2
Dec 01 AS Kigali vs APR 0-1
Nov 10 AS Kigali vs Police 1-0
Sep 21 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 0-0
May 05 AS Kigali vs Rayon Spo… 4-2
Apr 27 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 1-0
Apr 15 AS Kigali vs APR 2-2
Feb 24 AS Kigali vs Police 0-1
Jan 27 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 0-1
Jan 13 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 0-0
Rayon Sports Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 05 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 4-2
Dec 09 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 2-1
Mar 12 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-1
Nov 24 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-0
Apr 23 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-0
Dec 18 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rayon Sports in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 05, 2024 Rayon Sports 4 - 2 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 09, 2023 AS Kigali 2 - 1 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Mar 12, 2023 AS Kigali 1 - 1 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Nov 24, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Apr 23, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 18, 2021 AS Kigali 1 - 2 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AS Kigali to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 85
AS Kigali Power 0
Rayon Sports Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

AS Kigali Position

-5

Position Gap

9

Rayon Sports Position
Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.