AI Match Insights

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National Soccer League May 05, 2024

Rayon Sports

Home
VS
13:00

AS Kigali

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Rayon Sports Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
AS Kigali Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 52%
xG: 1.06 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.1 vs 0.2 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rayon Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (28%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Rayon Sports Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 09 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 2-1
Mar 12 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-1
Nov 24 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-0
Apr 23 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-0
Dec 18 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-2
AS Kigali Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 27 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 1-0
Apr 15 AS Kigali vs APR 2-2
Feb 24 AS Kigali vs Police 0-1
Jan 27 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 0-1
Jan 13 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 0-0
Dec 09 AS Kigali vs Rayon Spo… 2-1
Dec 06 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 4-2
Nov 25 AS Kigali vs APR 1-1
Sep 02 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 1-2
Aug 21 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rayon Sports in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • AS Kigali in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 09, 2023 AS Kigali 2 - 1 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Mar 12, 2023 AS Kigali 1 - 1 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Nov 24, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Apr 23, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 18, 2021 AS Kigali 1 - 2 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rayon Sports Power 0
AS Kigali Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Rayon Sports Position

+5

Position Gap

14

AS Kigali Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.