AI Match Insights
National Soccer League Dec 09, 2023
AS Kigali
HomeVS
17:00
Rayon Sports
AwayAI Predictions 43.6% Confidence
AS Kigali Win
Draw
Rayon Sports Win
Away Win
(44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score
40%
Momentum
46%
Standings
40%
Market
50%
Combined: 37%
Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.06 - 1.44
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Rayon Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%)
0-1 (12%)
1-2 (9%)
1-0 (9%)
0-2 (9%)
0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
AS Kigali Form 6.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 06 | AS Kigali vs Etincelles | 4-2 |
| Nov 25 | AS Kigali vs APR | 1-1 |
| Sep 02 | AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… | 1-2 |
| Aug 21 | AS Kigali vs Bugesera | 1-0 |
| May 28 | AS Kigali vs Bugesera | 2-1 |
| May 21 | AS Kigali vs Rutsiro | 0-2 |
| May 06 | AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… | 2-1 |
| Apr 29 | AS Kigali vs APR | 0-0 |
| Mar 12 | AS Kigali vs Rayon Spo… | 1-1 |
| Feb 24 | AS Kigali vs Etincelles | 2-2 |
Rayon Sports Form 17.5%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 12 | Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali | 1-1 |
| Nov 24 | Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali | 1-0 |
| Apr 23 | Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali | 1-0 |
| Dec 18 | Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali | 1-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Rayon Sports in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
- AS Kigali struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | AS Kigali | 1 - 1 | Rayon Sports | National Socce… |
| Nov 24, 2022 | Rayon Sports | 1 - 0 | AS Kigali | National Socce… |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Rayon Sports | 1 - 0 | AS Kigali | National Socce… |
| Dec 18, 2021 | AS Kigali | 1 - 2 | Rayon Sports | National Socce… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: AS Kigali to win (60% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%)
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- Huge position gap: 85
AS Kigali Power
0
Rayon Sports Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
14
AS Kigali Position-5
Position Gap9
Rayon Sports Position
Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.