AI Match Insights

National Soccer League Dec 09, 2023

AS Kigali

Home
VS
17:00

Rayon Sports

Away
AI Predictions 43.6% Confidence
AS Kigali Win
28.0%
Draw
28.4%
Rayon Sports Win
43.6%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 46%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 54%
xG: 1.06 - 1.44
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Rayon Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (13%) 0-1 (12%) 1-2 (9%) 1-0 (9%) 0-2 (9%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
AS Kigali Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 06 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 4-2
Nov 25 AS Kigali vs APR 1-1
Sep 02 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 1-2
Aug 21 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 1-0
May 28 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 2-1
May 21 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 0-2
May 06 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 2-1
Apr 29 AS Kigali vs APR 0-0
Mar 12 AS Kigali vs Rayon Spo… 1-1
Feb 24 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 2-2
Rayon Sports Form 17.5%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-1
Nov 24 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-0
Apr 23 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-0
Dec 18 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Rayon Sports in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • AS Kigali struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2023 AS Kigali 1 - 1 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Nov 24, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Apr 23, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 18, 2021 AS Kigali 1 - 2 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AS Kigali to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 85
AS Kigali Power 0
Rayon Sports Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

AS Kigali Position

-5

Position Gap

9

Rayon Sports Position

Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.