AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Nov 24, 2022

Rayon Sports

Home
VS
16:00

AS Kigali

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Rayon Sports Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
AS Kigali Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 63%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 1.33 - 0.93
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rayon Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (9%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Rayon Sports Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-0
Dec 18 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-2
AS Kigali Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 06 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 0-0
Oct 30 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 0-1
Oct 02 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 1-2
Aug 19 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 2-0
Jun 13 AS Kigali vs APR 0-2
May 21 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 0-0
May 15 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 0-0
Apr 29 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 2-1
Apr 23 AS Kigali vs Rayon Spo… 1-0
Apr 17 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AS Kigali in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 23, 2022 Rayon Sports 1 - 0 AS Kigali National Socce…
Dec 18, 2021 AS Kigali 1 - 2 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rayon Sports Power 0
AS Kigali Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Rayon Sports Position

+5

Position Gap

14

AS Kigali Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.