AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
National Soccer League Apr 23, 2022

Rayon Sports

Home
VS
13:00

AS Kigali

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Rayon Sports Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
AS Kigali Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 43% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.33 - 1.29
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Rayon Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
26%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (10%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Under 2.5 Goals 52%
Rayon Sports Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 18 Rayon Spo… vs AS Kigali 1-2
AS Kigali Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 17 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 2-2
Mar 14 AS Kigali vs Gicumbi 1-0
Jan 22 AS Kigali vs APR 0-0
Jan 19 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 1-2
Jan 15 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 1-2
Dec 23 AS Kigali vs Gasogi Un… 1-1
Dec 18 AS Kigali vs Rayon Spo… 1-2
Dec 12 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 1-1
Dec 01 AS Kigali vs Gicumbi 1-2
Jun 19 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 18, 2021 AS Kigali 1 - 2 Rayon Sports National Socce…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Rayon Sports Power 0
AS Kigali Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Rayon Sports Position

+5

Position Gap

14

AS Kigali Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 22%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.