AI Match Insights

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National Soccer League Dec 18, 2021

AS Kigali

Home
VS
13:00

Rayon Sports

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
AS Kigali Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Rayon Sports Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 2.30 - 1.00
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 1.0
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AS Kigali Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
12%
Rayon Sports Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
AS Kigali Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 12 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 1-1
Dec 01 AS Kigali vs Gicumbi 1-2
Jun 19 AS Kigali vs Bugesera 0-1
Jun 10 AS Kigali vs Rutsiro 0-2
May 26 AS Kigali vs APR 1-1
May 23 AS Kigali vs Kiyovu Sp… 3-1
May 10 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 2-1
May 07 AS Kigali vs Etincelles 2-1
Rayon Sports Form 50%

No recent form data available

Key Analysis Factors
  • AS Kigali in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AS Kigali to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 85
AS Kigali Power 0
Rayon Sports Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

AS Kigali Position

-5

Position Gap

9

Rayon Sports Position
Home Win Rate: 13%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.