AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
1. SNL Apr 20, 2024

Olimpija Ljubljana

Home
VS
15:30

Aluminij

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Olimpija Ljubljana Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Aluminij Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 1.96 - 0.33
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.0 vs 0.3
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Olimpija Ljubljana Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Aluminij Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
72%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (20%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (10%) 1-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Olimpija Ljubljana Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 10 Olimpija … vs Radomlje 2-2
Mar 16 Olimpija … vs Bravo 1-1
Mar 10 Olimpija … vs Mura 1-1
Mar 02 Olimpija … vs Celje 1-1
Feb 24 Olimpija … vs Aluminij 0-4
Feb 17 Olimpija … vs Radomlje 1-3
Dec 07 Olimpija … vs Bravo 1-1
Nov 25 Olimpija … vs Radomlje 0-2
Nov 12 Olimpija … vs Mura 1-0
Oct 29 Olimpija … vs Aluminij 0-0
Aluminij Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 15 Aluminij vs Radomlje 1-1
Apr 11 Aluminij vs Koper 2-1
Apr 05 Aluminij vs Maribor 0-2
Feb 24 Aluminij vs Olimpija … 0-4
Feb 20 Aluminij vs Radomlje 1-2
Feb 16 Aluminij vs Koper 1-2
Feb 11 Aluminij vs Maribor 7-0
Nov 26 Aluminij vs Koper 3-2
Oct 29 Aluminij vs Olimpija … 0-0
Oct 22 Aluminij vs Radomlje 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aluminij struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 24, 2024 Aluminij 0 - 4 Olimpija Ljubljana 1. SNL
Oct 29, 2023 Olimpija Ljubljana 0 - 0 Aluminij 1. SNL
Aug 19, 2023 Aluminij 4 - 5 Olimpija Ljubljana 1. SNL
Apr 26, 2023 Olimpija Ljubljana 2 - 1 Aluminij Cup
May 08, 2022 Aluminij 2 - 3 Olimpija Ljubljana 1. SNL
Mar 06, 2022 Olimpija Ljubljana 6 - 0 Aluminij 1. SNL
Nov 07, 2021 Aluminij 1 - 0 Olimpija Ljubljana 1. SNL
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Olimpija Ljubljana Power 0
Aluminij Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Olimpija Ljubljana Position

+3

Position Gap

7

Aluminij Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 40%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.