AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Ligue 1 Aug 20, 2023

Monaco

Home
VS
17:00

Strasbourg

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Monaco Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Strasbourg Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 59% Draw Risk: 17%
xG: 4.50 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 1.0
Score Prediction Analysis
Monaco Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Strasbourg Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-0 (6%) 2-1 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 3-2 (3%) 2-2 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Monaco Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
May 27 Monaco vs Rennes FC 2-0
May 19 Monaco vs Lyon 3-1
Apr 16 Monaco vs Lorient 3-1
Apr 02 Monaco vs Strasbourg 4-3
Feb 19 Monaco vs Stade Bre… 1-2
Feb 11 Monaco vs Paris Sai… 3-1
Feb 01 Monaco vs Auxerre 3-2
Jan 28 Monaco vs Marseille 1-1
Jan 11 Monaco vs Lorient 2-2
Jan 01 Monaco vs Stade Bre… 1-0
Strasbourg Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Jun 03 Strasbourg vs Lorient 2-1
May 27 Strasbourg vs Paris Sai… 1-1
May 13 Strasbourg vs Nice 2-0
Apr 07 Strasbourg vs Lens 2-1
Apr 02 Strasbourg vs Monaco 4-3
Mar 05 Strasbourg vs Stade Bre… 0-1
Feb 12 Strasbourg vs Lille 2-0
Jan 29 Strasbourg vs Toulouse 1-2
Jan 11 Strasbourg vs Lens 2-2
Dec 28 Strasbourg vs Paris Sai… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Monaco in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Strasbourg struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2023 Monaco 4 - 3 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Aug 06, 2022 Strasbourg 1 - 2 Monaco Ligue 1
Mar 13, 2022 Strasbourg 1 - 0 Monaco Ligue 1
Nov 28, 2021 Monaco 1 - 1 Strasbourg Ligue 1
Mar 03, 2021 Strasbourg 1 - 0 Monaco Ligue 1
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monaco Power 34
Strasbourg Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

10

Monaco Position

-3

Position Gap

7

Strasbourg Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.