AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Mar 03, 2024

Atlético Madrid

Home
VS
15:15

Real Betis

Away
AI Predictions 41.0% Confidence
Atlético Madrid Win
41.0%
Draw
25.8%
Real Betis Win
33.2%
Home Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 75%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.62 - 0.61
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Real Betis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
54%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (29%) 1-0 (18%) 0-1 (18%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (6%) 0-2 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Atlético Madrid Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 29 Atlético … vs Athletic … 3-0
Feb 20 Atlético … vs Inter 1-0
Feb 07 Atlético … vs Athletic … 0-1
Feb 04 Atlético … vs Real Madr… 1-1
Jan 28 Atlético … vs Valencia 2-0
Jan 25 Atlético … vs Sevilla FC 1-0
Jan 18 Atlético … vs Real Madr… 4-2
Jan 10 Atlético … vs Real Madr… 5-3
Jan 03 Atlético … vs Girona 4-3
Dec 16 Atlético … vs Athletic … 2-0
Real Betis Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Real Betis vs Ath Bilbao 3-1
Feb 22 Real Betis vs Dinamo Za… 1-1
Feb 18 Real Betis vs Alavés 0-0
Feb 18 Real Betis vs Alavés 0-0
Feb 15 Real Betis vs Dinamo Za… 0-1
Feb 09 Real Betis vs Cadiz 0-2
Feb 04 Real Betis vs Getafe 1-1
Feb 04 Real Betis vs Getafe 1-1
Jan 27 Real Betis vs Mallorca 0-1
Jan 21 Real Betis vs FC Barcel… 2-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Madrid struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 20, 2023 Real Betis 0 - 0 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Apr 02, 2023 Atlético Madrid 1 - 0 Real Betis La Liga
Oct 23, 2022 Real Betis 1 - 2 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Mar 06, 2022 Real Betis 1 - 3 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Oct 31, 2021 Atlético Madrid 3 - 0 Real Betis La Liga
Apr 11, 2021 Real Betis 1 - 1 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atlético Madrid to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Madrid Power 45
Real Betis Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlético Madrid Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Real Betis Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.