AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Apr 02, 2023

Atlético Madrid

Home
VS
19:00

Real Betis

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Atlético Madrid Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Real Betis Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 91%
Standings 75%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 37%
xG: 2.22 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 0.4
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
11%
1 goals:
24%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
11%
Real Betis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (17%) 1-0 (16%) 3-0 (13%) 2-1 (7%) 0-0 (7%) 1-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Atlético Madrid Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 18 Atlético … vs Valencia 3-0
Mar 13 Atlético … vs Girona 0-1
Feb 19 Atlético … vs Athletic … 1-0
Jan 18 Atlético … vs Levante 0-2
Jan 08 Atlético … vs FC Barcel… 0-1
Jan 04 Atlético … vs Oviedo 0-2
Nov 09 Atlético … vs Mallorca 1-0
Oct 23 Atlético … vs Real Betis 1-2
Oct 15 Atlético … vs Athletic … 0-1
Oct 08 Atlético … vs Girona 2-1
Real Betis Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 12 Real Betis vs Villarreal 1-1
Mar 05 Real Betis vs Real Madr… 0-0
Feb 24 Real Betis vs Elche 2-3
Feb 01 Real Betis vs FC Barcel… 1-2
Jan 28 Real Betis vs Getafe 0-1
Jan 12 Real Betis vs FC Barcel… 2-2
Jan 08 Real Betis vs Rayo Vall… 1-2
Nov 10 Real Betis vs Valencia 3-0
Nov 06 Real Betis vs Sevilla FC 1-1
Oct 23 Real Betis vs Atlético … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • AtlĂ©tico Madrid in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 23, 2022 Real Betis 1 - 2 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Mar 06, 2022 Real Betis 1 - 3 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Oct 31, 2021 Atlético Madrid 3 - 0 Real Betis La Liga
Apr 11, 2021 Real Betis 1 - 1 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atlético Madrid to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Madrid Power 45
Real Betis Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlético Madrid Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Real Betis Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.