AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Oct 31, 2021

Atlético Madrid

Home
VS
15:15

Real Betis

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
Atlético Madrid Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Real Betis Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 75%
Market 50%
Combined: 52% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 1.38 - 0.23
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.2
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Atlético Madrid Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Real Betis Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
80%
1 goals:
18%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (28%) 0-0 (20%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Under 2.5 Goals 78%
Atlético Madrid Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 28 Atlético … vs Levante 2-2
Sep 25 Atlético … vs Alavés 1-0
Apr 11 Atlético … vs Real Betis 1-1
Mar 21 Atlético … vs Alavés 1-0
Feb 20 Atlético … vs Levante 0-2
Feb 17 Atlético … vs Levante 1-1
Jan 24 Atlético … vs Valencia 3-1
Jan 03 Atlético … vs Alavés 1-2
Nov 28 Atlético … vs Valencia 0-1
Jul 03 Atlético … vs Mallorca 3-0
Real Betis Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 27 Real Betis vs Valencia 4-1
Oct 18 Real Betis vs Alavés 0-1
Oct 03 Real Betis vs Villarreal 2-0
Sep 26 Real Betis vs Getafe 2-0
Aug 28 Real Betis vs Real Madr… 0-1
Apr 24 Real Betis vs Real Madr… 0-0
Apr 11 Real Betis vs Atlético … 1-1
Apr 04 Real Betis vs Elche 1-1
Mar 08 Real Betis vs Alavés 3-2
Feb 19 Real Betis vs Getafe 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Betis in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 11, 2021 Real Betis 1 - 1 Atlético Madrid La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Atlético Madrid to win (51% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 51% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Atlético Madrid Power 45
Real Betis Power 39
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Atlético Madrid Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Real Betis Position
Home Win Rate: 91%
Away Win Rate: 18%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.