AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pernambucano - 1 Feb 05, 2026

Decisão

Home
VS
19:30

Santa Cruz FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Decisão Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Santa Cruz FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 48%
Market 35%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 47%
Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
xG: 1.30 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.6 Asian Handicap: Away -1.25
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Decisão Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
27%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Santa Cruz FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (15%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (12%) 0-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 33%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Decisão Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Decisão vs Retrô FC … 0-1
Jan 28 Decisão vs Acadêmica… 0-4
Jan 25 Decisão vs Maguary PE 3-4
Jan 21 Decisão vs Sport Rec… 5-0
Jan 17 Decisão vs Jaguaré 2-0
Jan 14 Decisão vs Nautico R… 1-2
Jan 11 Decisão vs Santa Cru… 3-0
Jan 04 Decisão vs Confiança 1-0
Mar 02 Decisão vs Sport Rec… 3-0
Feb 22 Decisão vs Nautico R… 1-0
Santa Cruz FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Santa Cru… vs Sport Rec… 2-1
Jan 28 Santa Cru… vs Jaguaré 6-0
Jan 25 Santa Cru… vs Nautico R… 0-4
Jan 22 Santa Cru… vs Retrô FC … 1-0
Jan 17 Santa Cru… vs Acadêmica… 1-0
Jan 14 Santa Cru… vs Maguary PE 1-1
Jan 11 Santa Cru… vs Decisão 3-0
Jan 11 Santa Cru… vs Decisão 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Decisão in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Santa Cruz FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 11, 2026 Santa Cruz FC 3 - 0 Decisão Pernambucano -…
Jan 11, 2025 Decisão 1 - 1 Santa Cruz FC Pernambucano -…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Decisão to win (60% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 60% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 94
Decisão Power 0
Santa Cruz FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Decisão Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Santa Cruz FC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.