AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Feb 06, 2026

Mosul

Home
VS
14:30

Newroz

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Mosul Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Newroz Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 49%
Market 50%
Combined: 36% Draw Risk: 34%
xG: 0.68 - 1.94
High draw risk (34%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mosul Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
51%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
12%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Newroz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
14%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (14%) 0-2 (14%) 1-1 (10%) 1-2 (9%) 0-3 (9%) 0-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 42%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Mosul Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Mosul vs Al Quwa A… 0-1
Jan 28 Mosul vs Al-Qasim … 2-3
Jan 23 Mosul vs Al Kahrab… 0-1
Jan 18 Mosul vs Al-Karma 1-3
Jan 13 Mosul vs Al Shorta… 3-0
Jan 08 Mosul vs Erbil 0-2
Jan 04 Mosul vs Al Karkh 2-2
Dec 31 Mosul vs Al-Talaba 0-0
Dec 22 Mosul vs Naft Mays… 1-1
Nov 21 Mosul vs Naft 1-2
Newroz Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Newroz vs Diyala 2-1
Jan 27 Newroz vs Al-Karma 0-1
Jan 22 Newroz vs Al Karkh 3-0
Jan 18 Newroz vs Al-Qasim … 0-3
Jan 14 Newroz vs Al-Talaba 0-1
Jan 10 Newroz vs Gharraf 0-1
Jan 05 Newroz vs Naft 2-0
Jan 01 Newroz vs Al Minaa … 1-1
Dec 22 Newroz vs Baghdad 0-1
Nov 21 Newroz vs Al Zawra'a 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Mosul struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Newroz struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Mosul to win (40% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 40% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mosul Power 0
Newroz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

14

Mosul Position

+2

Position Gap

16

Newroz Position
Home Win Rate: 14%
Away Win Rate: 29%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.