AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Feb 06, 2026

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Home
VS
14:30

Naft Maysan

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Naft Maysan Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 67%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 1.53 - 1.03
Key Insights
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Naft Maysan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1 (12%) 1-0 (12%) 2-1 (9%) 2-0 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 0-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Al Quwa A… vs Mosul 0-1
Jan 28 Al Quwa A… vs Al Kahrab… 0-2
Jan 22 Al Quwa A… vs Al-Qasim … 2-0
Jan 17 Al Quwa A… vs Al Shorta… 1-1
Jan 13 Al Quwa A… vs Baghdad 0-2
Jan 09 Al Quwa A… vs Al-Karma 1-0
Jan 04 Al Quwa A… vs Erbil 0-0
Dec 30 Al Quwa A… vs Duhok 0-2
Dec 23 Al Quwa A… vs Naft 0-0
Nov 22 Al Quwa A… vs Al Najaf 0-2
Naft Maysan Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Naft Mays… vs Al Kahrab… 0-2
Jan 27 Naft Mays… vs Al Shorta… 2-1
Jan 23 Naft Mays… vs Naft 1-2
Jan 18 Naft Mays… vs Zakho 0-2
Jan 14 Naft Mays… vs Al Najaf 2-4
Jan 09 Naft Mays… vs Al Zawra'a 2-2
Jan 05 Naft Mays… vs Diyala 1-1
Dec 31 Naft Mays… vs Erbil 1-0
Dec 22 Naft Mays… vs Mosul 1-1
Nov 21 Naft Mays… vs Duhok 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Naft Maysan struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jul 03, 2025 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 4 - 2 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
Dec 16, 2024 Naft Maysan 0 - 1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Apr 15, 2024 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 1 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
Feb 15, 2024 Naft Maysan 0 - 4 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Apr 20, 2023 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 1 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
Oct 30, 2022 Naft Maysan 0 - 4 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Feb 20, 2022 Naft Maysan 1 - 2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Sep 30, 2021 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 - 0 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
May 16, 2021 Naft Maysan 0 - 4 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Jan 01, 2021 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 - 1 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Power 0
Naft Maysan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Position

+13

Position Gap

17

Naft Maysan Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.